Geloof niet alles…: klimaatverandering in wetenschap, politiek en media

Inderdaad, er zijn naast CO2 zo’n 40-tal natuurlijke kosmische en aardse klimaatfactoren die elkaar en de klimaatverandering asynchroon beinvloeden. De voorspelbaarheid van klimaatverandering is daardoor vooral politiek ovetdreven giswerk. De klimaatgevoeligheid van extra CO2-emissies is het grote twistpunt tussen activistische en VN-IPCC-kritische wetenschappers. Salomon Kronenberg ging Jules de Waard voor in de fundamentele kritiek op de ‘sterke’ correlatie tussen CO2 en Klimaatverandering in de AGW-hypothese door het VN-IPCC.

AI NotebookLM is een Kunstmatige Intelligentie software van Google.

Het paper:

https://principia-scientific.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/04/SaturationIVnew.pdf.

is geanalyseerd. Antwoord van NotebookLM :

The Author’s Criticism of the IPCC’s “Science is Settled” Claim
The author strongly disagrees with the IPCC’s assertion that the “science is settled” regarding climate change, particularly concerning the role of CO2. They argue that this statement is demonstrably false, as evidenced by the IPCC’s failure to adequately account for two crucial phenomena: thermalization and saturation of CO2. These phenomena, according to the author, significantly limit the warming effect of CO2, contradicting the IPCC’s projections.
Here’s a breakdown of the author’s critique:
• Ignoring Thermalization (Pre-2015): Before 2015, when CO2 concentrations were below 400 ppm, the author contends that the IPCC entirely ignored the concept of thermalization, a process where an excited CO2 molecule transfers its absorbed energy to surrounding atmospheric molecules through collisions, primarily nitrogen (N2) and oxygen (O2) [1, 2]. This energy is then radiated to space via water vapor instead of the CO2 frequency band, effectively reducing CO2’s contribution to the greenhouse effect. The author argues that the IPCC’s models, particularly those based on the two-stream Schwarzschild approach, failed to incorporate this crucial mechanism, leading to inflated temperature increase predictions [3, 4].

• Ignoring Both Thermalization and Saturation (Post-2016): As CO2 concentrations surpassed 400 ppm after 2015, the author highlights that the IPCC continues to disregard not only thermalization but also saturation [4]. Saturation occurs when the CO2 molecules in the atmosphere are already absorbing most of the LW radiation within their specific absorption band. Additional CO2 has minimal impact on the overall absorption and, consequently, on the greenhouse effect.
The author’s stack model demonstrates this saturation effect by calculating the viewfactor, which represents the proportion of LW radiation that can pass through the CO2 layers [5, 6]. As CO2 concentration increases, the viewfactor decreases until it reaches zero, indicating that the CO2 layers effectively block further LW radiation transfer, creating a plateau in OLR and limiting further temperature increases [7, 8].

• Misinterpreting Historical Temperatures: The author criticizes the IPCC for using the traditional Schwarzschild analysis to project future temperature increases without accurately reflecting historical temperature trends [3]. They point out that the temperature increase predicted by these models for pre-industrial CO2 levels (280 ppm) significantly exceeds the actual measured temperature during that period. This discrepancy, according to the author, undermines the validity of using these models for future projections, particularly when they fail to account for thermalization and saturation.

• Misleading the Public: The author suggests that the IPCC’s “science is settled” stance, coupled with their neglect of thermalization and saturation, creates a misleading narrative that overstates the risks of CO2 emissions [4, 9, 10]. This, in turn, has fueled alarmist claims about catastrophic warming and has driven policy decisions away from more pragmatic approaches.
In conclusion, the author posits that the IPCC’s “science is settled” assertion is not only scientifically inaccurate but also detrimental to informed policy making. They advocate for a more nuanced and evidence-based understanding of CO2’s role in the climate system, one that acknowledges the limiting effects of thermalization and saturation.

NotebookLM.com can be downloaded for free.

Er is sprake van morele vooruitgang.
Dat weerhoudt ons van het vermoorden van ketters, neerschieten van demonstranten, plunderen van andermans eigendommen.
De moordzucht, mede uit angst voor concurrentie waar het beperkte grondstoffen betreft, is daarmee niet uitgeroeid.
Het wachten is slechts op een ideologie die tegenstanders zodanig demoniseerd dat roof, moord en plundering acceptabel wordt.
Het recente verleden biedt hiervan nare voorbeelden.
Het klimaat alarmisme is in dit licht geplaatst de nieuwste poging om energie en grondstoffen aan nationale controle te onttrekken.
Doel is versobering. Te bereiken door afknijpen van de energie- en voedselvoorziening, gelijkheid = armoede te eisen.
Klimaatbeleid is klassenstrijd. Een nieuw feodaal stelsel is in de maak. Mooi voorbeeld is D66.
https://www.telegraaf.nl/watuzegt/928800365/wie-denkt-het-volk-wel-dat-het-is

GL=groenlinksch, is het toevallig dat “gluiperig” met dezelfde letters begint?